We are about faith not fear, suggesting for people to be prepared, not scared. Anyone labeling us fear mongers is totally misunderstanding
So many ministers and faiths are preaching almost exclusively about the pleasant side of being a Christian in today’s world
Let’s get one thing out of the way up front, so there is no misunderstanding of what it means to be an authentic Christian.
Plan for total self reliance, a parcel of land with solar power, well water, crops and livestock. Live as the
There exist few subjects that hold greater potential for fatal damage to a Christian’s faith and belief
Inaugural Prepper Fest AZ Expo!
Our inaugural expo was a very rewarding experience for attendees who shopped among over 80 Self Reliance Vendors and had an educational curriculum of over 55 classes on all manner of off the grid living. For more information on our next PrepperFestAZ Expo in November, please visit: www.prepperfestaz.org.
The three most important PREPPER subjects to understand.
- THE NORMALCY BIAS
- THE BLACK SWAN THEORY
- LIFE ASSURANCE PLAN
THE NORMALCY BIAS – Most important part of helping those in denial snap out of their denial is an understanding of the normalcy bias.
Definition. NORMALCY BIAS refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, results in the failure of governments to include the public in its disaster preparations. The false assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred, then it never will occur. The Normalcy Bias also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster, once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulty reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation. Most people today are still under the spell of the normalcy bias, and they cannot and OFTEN DO NOT WANT to see the storm clouds building all around us, even when presented with clear evidence that points to an impending Black Swan Event. Their attitude is like an ostrich with head in the sand “don’t threaten my happy space with all your negative talk”, they think that talking about these things increases their chance of happening, labeling us fear mongers; and they hope that if we just ignore the problems, and stop talking about them, they will just go away. How did that work out for those who ignored the Katrina warnings or the Jews living in Nazi Germany, or Chamberlin pacifying Hitler?
Become an expert on Normalcy Bias and avoid falling prey to it.
Example: Hurricane Katrina was widely predicted to be the mother of all hurricanes with catastrophic level wind speeds, yet still; many ignored Governor Blanco’s & Mayor Nagin’s MANDITORY EVACUATION warnings and many died as a result. Nazi Germany – Most Jews failed to recognize Hitler’s many ominous warning signs and leave Germany, many died. Today, there are a litany of clear and present dangers from the government debt, Israeli Iranian war triggering a much larger war, 2012 solar storm or pole shift, etc. Any of these could cause commerce to come to a screeching halt and stores would be stripped bare in 3 days. When this happens, the majority of people who have NOT prepped; are predicted by experts to start roaming the neighborhoods and looting to survive. The $64,000 question you need to ask yourself is which side of that divide do you want to be on, the majority who are asleep and mesmerized by the NORMALCY BIAS, or the growing minority of preppers whom are waking up to the new global realities and taking sensible steps to prepare for a future where a Black Swan Event could occur at any time.
THE BLACK SWAN THEORY encapsulates the concept that an event is a surprise (to the observer) and has a major impact. After the fact, the event is rationalized by hindsight as having been predictable
Black Swan Theory has 3 main components:
- The disproportionate consequences of high-impact, hard-to-predict, rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance and technology; 2007 subprime meltdown, for instance.
- The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods.
- The psychological biases that make people individually and collectively blind to uncertainty and unaware of the massive role of the rare Black Swan Events in our history.
Examples OF BLACK SWAN EVENTS – the 9/11 attacks which few predicted ahead of the event. People were blind to the possibility. In retrospect, it really should not have come as a surprise to the government officials charged with protecting us, as 9/11 was somewhat predictable in light of changing terrorist tactics and credible internet chatter.
The same events that people are blinded to by their NORMALCY BIAS are also BLACK SWAN EVENTS: Katrina, large quakes, 9/11, sub prime meltdown, etc. Potential future events include currency hyperinflation & collapse, pandemics, domestic terrorism, 2012 solar alignment, etc.
A black swan event depends on the observer. For example, what may be a black swan surprise for a turkey is not necessarily a black swan surprise to its butcher. The lesson here is to take a look around and "avoid being the turkey" by identifying areas of vulnerability. There is a growing sense that some Black Swan Event will happen soon, and this sense that SOME GAME CHANGING event is poised to happen is what is really giving the prepper movement its legs.
These Black Swan fears are what is driving the recent launch of Discovery Channel’s Doomsday Bunkers, Nat Geo’s Doomsday Preppers – to cater to the exploding thirst preppers have for info to help prepare for a Black Swan Event
LIFE ASSURANCE VS ALL INSURANCES PEOPLE CURRENTLY PAY
A LIFE ASSURANCE PLAN, is to buy food and store water so that your ability to ASSURE you have food and water on hand so you are prepared in the event a Black Swan event happen in your area. Why is storing some food & water perceived by some as extremist and paranoid, when so many people who think life will go on as usual would not think of getting into a car without auto insurance, or live without life and health insurance? Answer it is NOT extremist and paranoid and the answer to why SOME perceive that it is lies in their Normalcy Bias. Preppers are independent thinkers who do not follow the masses and their “group think”. Preppers are those who are awake to the growing list of potential Black Swan events and have snapped themselves out of the stupor of the Normalcy Bias. Preppers are the ones whom today are ridiculed by many of their friends and family, whom later will be showing up at the preppers doorstep when the next Black Swan event impacts them, sheepishly looking for handouts. Start a LIFE ASSURANCE PLAN today, it will give you tremendous peace of mind to have personally taken responsibility and control of ensuring your ability to sustain your family’s life should commerce be interrupted in your neighborhood for a period of time.
I encourage you to go home, talk to your neighbors, and use my website & links at: myfearlessfuture.org, to explain to them the concepts of Normalcy Bias, Black Swan Theory & Life Assurance. Most experts believe that it the wisest plan is to have a group of people united and working together to get you through a Black Swan Event. Trying to go it alone, running off to your own individual shelter is not considered your best option by most experts. Staying put if possible, or leaving together and joining forces with your neighbors to pool & protect your collective neighborhood resources from looting is what many believe to be the most realistic plan. Today, right now, you have the opportunity to be the pioneers of the prepper movement in your communities, talk to your neighbors, show them evidence, start a local club in your area, when the shoe drops, your neighbors will be grateful.
Our normal main page content is below.
REAL SECURITY DURING INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TIMES
STAY ALERT & WATCHFUL
It has never been more critical to stay fully alert and informed about current events that may dramatically alter YOUR future. There are numerous game-changing possibilities that all appear to be coming to a head in 2012.
IMMINENT WAR BETWEEN ISRAEL & IRAN
The level of sabre rattling emanating from Iran, Israel and the United States over Iran’s pursuit of nuclear technology and the economic sanctions imposed on Iran is approaching a crescendo. Both Israel and the United States officials have made public statements that they believe that an Israeli attack is imminent. Diplomats are being assassinated, warships are moving into position and the volume of news stories is eerily similar to the stories that prefaced the Bush Administrations 2003 invasion of Iraq for the supposed “weapons of mass destruction”. There are two main differences between the 2003 war in Iraq and this imminent 2012 war with Iran.
1. Iran really is close to having weapons of mass destruction, and their leaders have a publicly stated agenda of wiping Israel off the face of the earth.
2. If Iran is attacked, experts believe that Russia and China will come to Iran’s defense. There is little doubt that America will come to Israel’s defense. If this threat unravels as experts predict, we could be facing a regional war involving the mightiest nations on earth. Some speculate that World War III could result. Oil prices are expected to skyrocket, as is general inflation and the price of gold and silver.
EUROPEAN UNION DEBT
One of the biggest threats is the European Union and the inability of the European leadership to instill ongoing confidence in the long term stability of their currency, the Euro. This currency is going through a real crisis of epic proportions threatening the very foundation of the entire European Union concept crafted over the past several decades. Some experts have stated the currency will not last from one of two emerging threats. Either the rich countries like Germany may pull out of supporting the Euro to save their own national economic engine or the weaker countries like Greece will pull out to free their own economies from the pressures of having to maintain alignment to the Euro and the adverse effects it has on their own economy.
If either of these threats emerge; the whole Euro Currency system is predicted to collapse like a house of cards.
Greece faces a crisis of epic proportions at this very moment. The EU finance ministers are playing possum with Greece, imposing higher and higher economic austerity demands and no matter how many demands Greece agrees to, instead of assuring Greece the next wave of bailout funding is approved, instead keep imposing even more austere requirements.
The latest round of profoundly severe demands was approved on Monday morning, February 13th, 2012, with the expectation that the European Finance ministers would approve the $140 billion Euro bailout at Wednesdays meeting on Feb 15th. Instead of approving the bailout, the EU finance ministers CANCELLED their meeting and imposed YET ANOTHER round of increasingly strident demands. Experts are almost unanimous in their assessment that the latest EU meeting cancellation spells doom for Greece. The loans are not forthcoming, Greece has been written off by the EU and will be kicked out of the EU and expected to fend for itself. D-Day is March 20, 2012. Keep a keep eye on that date, for if the EU does not fund the bailout by March 20th, or make some other provisions for forgiving or cancelling the $14 billion Euro payment due on that date, Greece is in big trouble.
UNITED STATES DEBT
Lest we think these problems only exist on the other side of the pond, the cold hard truth is that the U.S. currency is in far deeper trouble than the Euro for we have a far greater overall debt booked against our Yankee Dollar than all the Euro Union countries combined. Just because the media is more focused on the latest issues with the Occupy Wall Street movement, than on our own horrendous debt problem, it does not mean we are in the clear. United States overall national debt is unquestionably larger than can ever realistically be repaid and virtually all economic advisors have agreed that the most like future America faces is the following:
1. More “Quantitative Easing” (Fed buying its own bonds), in the form of QE#3, which some say actually is already happening behind the scenes, which will further devalue the dollar.
2. Rising inflation leading eventually to hyperinflation.
3. Loss of the dollar’s stature as the world’s reserve currency status.
4. Ultimately a U.S. dollar currency collapse.
This is the same course of events that virtually EVERY fiat currency has progressed through in the history of the world. Recent examples are Venezuela, Zimbabwe and of course Germany after WW1.
The chorus of Financial Advisors who are predicting this include such respected and noted authors as:
Howard Ruff "How To Prosper During The Coming Bad Years In The 21st Century" ISBN: 978-0-425-22432-8 The greatest selling financial book in the history of the world.
Peter Schiff "CRASH PROOF" How To Profit From The Coming Economic Collapse" ISBN 978-0-470-04360-8
Dr. David Jeremiah “The Coming Economic Armageddon” ISBN 978-0-446-56594-3
Dr. David Wiedemer “AFTERSHOCK, Protect Yourself and Profit in the Next Global Financial Meltdown” ISBN 978-0-470-91814-2
Porter Stansbury, creator of the 77 minute on line video infomercial “The End Of America”
Libertarian Presidential Candidate Ron Paul, and a host of others.
A great source of information about what is really happening to the United States economy and the rapid devaluation of the dollar is an organization called the National Inflation Association, url: www.inflation.us.
We encourage you to visit the www.inflation.us website, open the video tab and view the following videos which offer an unvarnished perspective on the insurmountable debt crisis facing America.
Ø The Dollar Bubble
Ø The Day The Dollar Died
Ø QE2 The Last Gasp of a Monetary System: A Message to the World.
Also, we suggest you consider signing up for the National Inflation Association’s free e-mail alerts.
Other sources of information on the insurmountable U.S. debt problem include:
Ø Watch Porter Stansbury video www.endofamerica2011.com. We do not encourage you to subscribe to any newsletter that is not free.
Ø Read several of the authors on www.kitco.com Howard Ruff & Roger Wiegand. They are speaking without reservation about what we will someday soon be facing.
Our goal is not to saddle you with disturbing news and depress you. Our goal is to honestly prepare you for what many unbiased experts see is coming. Imagine if you were on the Titanic, and a few days away from hitting the iceberg. Would you want to know about hitting the iceberg and increase your chances of surviving it, or would you want to remain in the dark?
Most every expert has the following advice as their number one suggestion:
When currencies inflate, devalue and collapse, the best security is buying and taking personal physical possession of gold and silver coins. The preferred coins are pre-1965 90% silver U.S. Quarters, Dimes and Halves. You can buy them at your local coin store, store them in a safe place and you will have real financial security in times of currency crisis. There is far more information on this in our physical preparation tab.
Regardless of what troubled waters we are facing ahead, the best security is spiritual security in a solid relationship with our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ. Be prepared, not scared!
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